Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.0#329
Expected Predictive Rating-11.8#316
Pace67.8#161
Improvement+1.3#117

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#309
Improvement+0.1#168

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#320
Improvement+1.2#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2011 90   @ Oklahoma St. L 46-73 3%     0 - 1 -18.2 -21.9 +3.2
  Nov 16, 2011 87   Oral Roberts L 44-80 5%     0 - 2 -30.3 -25.6 -7.9
  Nov 21, 2011 231   Florida International W 58-56 19%     1 - 2 -1.8 -10.0 +8.3
  Nov 22, 2011 181   SMU L 55-64 13%     1 - 3 -9.9 -5.4 -6.2
  Nov 28, 2011 140   @ Auburn L 59-72 5%     1 - 4 -7.4 -6.0 -1.8
  Dec 10, 2011 173   @ Air Force L 51-63 8%     1 - 5 -9.0 -15.2 +5.2
  Dec 13, 2011 23   @ Michigan L 50-63 1%     1 - 6 +2.9 -14.3 +16.5
  Dec 15, 2011 73   @ Akron L 64-87 3%     1 - 7 -12.8 -8.5 -2.4
  Dec 17, 2011 156   @ DePaul L 62-81 6%     1 - 8 -14.6 -15.8 +2.4
  Dec 21, 2011 33   @ Cincinnati L 53-101 1%     1 - 9 -33.9 -15.5 -15.0
  Dec 28, 2011 211   Jacksonville St. L 55-78 16%     1 - 10 -25.5 -19.0 -5.7
  Dec 29, 2011 131   @ UTEP L 58-79 5%     1 - 11 -15.1 +2.4 -22.3
  Dec 31, 2011 50   @ New Mexico St. L 65-81 2%     1 - 12 -4.1 -2.1 -2.1
  Jan 03, 2012 243   @ Mississippi Valley L 67-82 14%     1 - 13 0 - 1 -16.4 -10.2 -5.2
  Jan 07, 2012 336   @ Alabama A&M L 62-65 45%     1 - 14 0 - 2 -14.8 -8.7 -6.5
  Jan 09, 2012 320   @ Alabama St. L 56-62 34%     1 - 15 0 - 3 -14.8 -18.4 +3.8
  Jan 14, 2012 316   Southern L 68-69 59%     1 - 16 0 - 4 -16.2 +0.0 -16.3
  Jan 16, 2012 335   Alcorn St. W 75-68 69%     2 - 16 1 - 4 -11.1 +0.0 -10.6
  Jan 21, 2012 276   @ Texas Southern L 55-69 18%     2 - 17 1 - 5 -17.3 -16.8 -0.1
  Jan 23, 2012 330   @ Prairie View L 75-76 37%     2 - 18 1 - 6 -10.6 +5.1 -15.7
  Jan 28, 2012 344   Grambling St. L 55-60 85%     2 - 19 1 - 7 -29.1 -27.9 -1.3
  Jan 30, 2012 333   Jackson St. W 73-69 68%     3 - 19 2 - 7 -13.8 -5.1 -8.6
  Feb 04, 2012 336   Alabama A&M W 81-75 71%     4 - 19 3 - 7 -12.6 -6.2 -6.8
  Feb 06, 2012 320   Alabama St. W 62-61 60%     5 - 19 4 - 7 -14.6 -6.5 -8.0
  Feb 11, 2012 316   @ Southern W 64-58 33%     6 - 19 5 - 7 -2.4 -11.4 +8.8
  Feb 13, 2012 335   @ Alcorn St. L 58-66 44%     6 - 20 5 - 8 -19.3 -16.1 -3.6
  Feb 18, 2012 276   Texas Southern L 65-84 39%     6 - 21 5 - 9 -29.1 -12.8 -15.0
  Feb 20, 2012 330   Prairie View W 61-58 63%     7 - 21 6 - 9 -13.4 -14.4 +1.0
  Feb 25, 2012 333   @ Jackson St. W 46-44 42%     8 - 21 7 - 9 -9.0 -16.4 +8.0
  Feb 27, 2012 344   @ Grambling St. W 68-53 66%     9 - 21 8 - 9 -2.3 -7.0 +5.9
  Mar 01, 2012 243   Mississippi Valley W 78-67 32%     10 - 21 9 - 9 +2.8 -2.5 +4.8
  Mar 08, 2012 320   Alabama St. W 60-56 OT 47%     11 - 21 -8.2 -11.1 +3.1
  Mar 09, 2012 243   Mississippi Valley L 64-71 22%     11 - 22 -11.8 -4.0 -8.5
Projected Record 11.0 - 22.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%